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For
universal health care, two states push big
plans By Daniel C. Vock,
Stateline.org Staff Writer
What goes right and wrong this year with health reform efforts,
especially those in Massachusetts and
California, will be closely watched by
whoever wins the presidency, state
politicians, the health care industry and,
of course, voters.
Massachusetts is center stage because its
health coverage program is the most
ambitious up-and-running initiative in the
nation; it requires nearly all residents to
get health insurance.
California’s sheer size — one in eight
Americans live in the Golden State — means
its health reform efforts will have an
outsized impact on every American.
Insurance snapshot of
Massachusetts and California
Mass.
Calif.
U.S.
Population
Total
6,328,346
35,973,138
296,056,836
Uninsured
620,128
(10%)
6,774,009
(19%)
46,994,627
(16%)
Health insurance coverage
Employer
60%
49%
54%
Individual
4%
7%
5%
Medicaid
13%
16%
13%
Medicare
12%
9%
12%
Other public*
0%
1%
1%
Citizenship status
Citizen
92%
83%
93%
Income**
Median household
income
$56,236
$53,770
$46,071
State tax per capita
$2,815
$2,724
$2,190
Federal tax per
capita
$11,003
$8,326
$8,508
Household employment
status
At least one
full-time worker
71%
74%
74%
Only part-time
workers
10%
7%
7%
No workers
19%
19%
19%
*Other public insurance coverage includes those covered
under the military or
Veterans Administration as
well as some non-elderly
Medicare enrollees.
**Income data based on U.S.
Census Bureau’s State
Government Tax Collections:
2005
Sources: National Governors
Association, Stateline.org
reportingSource: Kaiser
Family Foundation’s
Statehealthfacts.org based
on U.S. Census Bureau’s
March 2006 and March 2007
Current Population studies
For both states, 2008 is a crucial year. The real teeth of
implementing legislation adopted in
Massachusetts in 2005 — penalties for
laggard companies and workers — bite for the
first time in April. The fate of
California’s proposals will likely come down
to whether a ballot measure succeeds there
in November.
Of course, the presidential election will intensify the scrutiny.
In fact, two leading candidates helped
elevate the issue on the national agenda. As
Massachusetts governor, Republican
presidential candidate Mitt Romney struck a
deal with an overwhelmingly Democratic
Legislature to make the Massachusetts
program a reality. On the campaign trail,
Romney has backed away from many central
tenets of the initiative, but Democrats have
borrowed heavily from the model he helped
create.
Among the would-be copiers is U.S. Sen. Hillary Clinton (D-N.Y.).
As first lady, Clinton led an ill-fated
attempt in 1993-1994 to deliver universal
coverage nationally. As a presidential
contender, Clinton is resurrecting her
effort. In doing so, she’s taken a page from
her husband’s playbook for the 1992
election: The third major theme of Bill
Clinton’s initial bid — right behind the
more famous “The economy, stupid” — was
“Don’t forget health care.”
Ironically, California Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger (R) has defended
his ideas for a health care overhaul by
stressing how similar it is to Hillary
Clinton’s proposal.
The Massachusetts model is getting a close look because it is
bipartisan, comprehensive and relatively
cheap. The program includes:
• A requirement for all residents to obtain coverage as long as
it’s “affordable.”
• The creation of a new state agency, called the Commonwealth
Connector, which lets residents use pre-tax
income to buy their choice of private
insurance.
• Expanded insurance subsidies for residents making less than three
times the federal poverty level (roughly
$63,000 for a family of four).
• New penalties to punish employers that don’t offer insurance.
• Overhauled insurance rules that now apply the same regulations to
health insurance bought by individuals and
coverage purchased by employers.
The state avoided a broad-based tax increase by using federal
Medicaid money in a new way. Instead of
heavily subsidizing hospitals serving poor
patients — a practice the Bush
administration questioned and threatened to
curb — Massachusetts officials decided to
use $375 million per year of that money to
help low-income residents buy private
insurance.
By December, at least 290,000 Massachusetts residents had signed up
for new health coverage. That’s between half
and two-thirds of the estimated number of
uninsured in the state, and far more than
enrolled under the reform efforts in the
smaller states of Maine and Vermont.
“One of the key lessons from Massachusetts is that it is possible
for a state to think big and to attempt to
address the entire issue of the uninsured.
Massachusetts has set an excellent example,”
said Vernon K. Smith, a principal for the
consulting firm Health Management
Associates.
Schwarzenegger has borrowed several ideas from Massachusetts,
including the requirement that all residents
get insurance. But the task of covering the
uninsured will be far more difficult than in
Massachusetts.
California,
the nation’s most-populous state, has the
seventh-highest uninsured rate in the nation
— nearly twice as high as in Massachusetts.
In fact, the 6.8 million people without
health insurance in California outnumber
Massachusetts’ entire population of 6.3
million.
Moreover, fewer than half of California’s residents get insurance
through their employers. And there’s only
one doctor for every 323 Californians,
compared to one physician for every 193
Massachusetts residents.
“The California proposal is the boldest one yet. It is very
significant because the scale of the problem
is greater in California than almost
anywhere,” said Smith, a former Michigan
Medicaid director.
As a Republican governor trying to win support from a Democratic
Legislature, Schwarzenegger faces a similar
situation to the one Romney faced in
Massachusetts.
Major sticking points in the California negotiations included:
• Whether to impose a requirement on residents to buy insurance
and, if so, what to do about people who
can’t afford coverage.
• Whether it’s better to give lowermiddle- class workers tax breaks
or subsidies to make insurance more
affordable.
• How much to fine companies that refuse to offer insurance to
their employees.
• Whether and how much to tax doctors and hospitals to raise money
for subsidies.
• Whether to require insurance companies to issue coverage to
individuals, regardless of their age or
preexisting medical conditions (a
requirement Massachusetts had even before
enacting the 2005 law).
• How to pay for the reforms, especially with the state facing a
looming budget shortfall of up to $14
billion. Schwarzenegger backed off his
proposal to lease the state lottery to raise
the money. House Democrats proposed a
tobacco tax hike instead, among other
revenue raisers.
Health care reform — especially covering the uninsured — is a hot
topic in state capitols throughout the
country. In fact, two-thirds of governors
unveiled plans to cut the number of
uninsured in 2007, Smith said.
States are in a unique position to tackle the issue. They regulate
health insurance for small businesses and
individuals. They administer public
programs, such as Medicaid and the State
Children’s Health Insurance Program (SCHIP)
that together cover 63 million poor
Americans. And their small size, compared to
the federal government, often makes it
easier for them to experiment.
Showing how divisive the issue remains in Washington, D.C., one of
the biggest battles between President Bush
and Congress (including many Republicans)
last year involved SCHIP. Bush twice vetoed
legislation that would have allowed states
to cover an additional 4 million people
under the program, arguing that it would
discourage people from buying private
insurance. In December, Bush agreed to
continue the program in its current form
through March 2009.
The dispute was, in large part, fueled by states’ aggressive
efforts to reach out to more families.
Illinois
and Pennsylvania now offer insurance for all
kids; the amount their parents pay depends
on their income. New Mexico covers kids 5
and under, and Connecticut offers insurance
for all kids who are legal residents.
The issue of the uninsured continues to come up because 47 million
Americans are now not covered, a number that
keeps growing. Americans are losing coverage
as premiums get more expensive and more
employers, especially small businesses, stop
offering health insurance.
Health care costs keep rising far faster than the rate of
inflation, and have for decades. That means
medical expenses gobble up more and more of
the nation’s economy, accounting for 16
percent of the country’s gross domestic
product, compared to 7.2 percent in 1970.
Many factors contribute to the skyrocketing costs. One of the chief
contributors is the continual introduction
of new, high-priced technology, which
consumers demand even though they don’t
directly pay for the treatment, said Ted
Frech, an economics professor at the
University of California, Santa Barbara.
Another possible reason for the climbing costs — and one whose
existence is a matter of dispute among
researchers — is a practice called
“defensive medicine,” in which doctors order
extra tests and treatment to avoid lawsuits.
Of course, higher medical bills mean higher insurance rates.
A 2006 PriceWaterhouseCoopers study for the insurance industry
attributed 43 percent of the cost of premium
hikes to increased services. General
inflation accounted for 27 percent of the
increases, and price hikes for health
services that outstripped inflation caused
the remaining 30 percent, according to the
report.
Another problem complicating efforts to reduce the number of
uninsured Americans is that adults are more
likely to be without coverage than kids, and
adults are more expensive to insure. Nearly
a third of adults younger than 30 don’t have
coverage, and 29 percent of childless adults
between ages 30 and 39 go without — compared
to 16 percent of the population as a whole.
But most state efforts to establish universal health care, such as
those in California, Illinois, Pennsylvania
and Wisconsin, ran aground in 2007. The
whopping price tag of some proposals,
measured in the billions of dollars, scared
many lawmakers. Others feared government
intrusion into private markets. Still others
wanted better information and more time.
Meanwhile, the three states with plans in place — Maine, Vermont
and, most famously, Massachusetts — have
each run into snags as they try to translate
high-minded rhetoric into everyday reality.
But officials in those states remain
confident their programs are working well.
In Massachusetts, the state took several steps to encourage the 10
percent of residents who are uninsured to
comply with the mandatory insurance
requirement that took effect in July 2007.
It launched a media campaign to inform
residents about the new requirement, with a
special emphasis on those most likely to be
uninsured: men in their mid-30s.
By December, more than 290,000 Massachusetts residents signed up
for new coverage. Roughly 160,000 took
advantage of the subsidized products, 70,000
enrolled in Medicaid and 60,000 bought
private insurance specially designed to meet
the new law, state officials said.
Those who still didn’t get coverage by Dec. 31 will face financial
penalties when they file their 2007 tax
returns. Initially, they’ll lose a personal
exemption worth $219. Later, the penalties
will get steeper, up to half as much as it
would cost to buy insurance.
The state won’t penalize people who it determines can’t afford the
insurance they’re offered, some 60,000
people in the program’s first year.
Not every state can do exactly what Massachusetts did, but the path
to universal coverage in any state would
have some of the same components, said
Enrique Martinez-Vidal, director of State
Coverage Initiatives, a project to help
states make health insurance available to
more people.
To cover the poorest residents, states would have to beef up their
public programs, such as Medicaid and SCHIP.
That could be a costly proposition,
especially for states that aren’t starting
with the same generous level of benefits
Massachusetts offered even before it passed
the reform law.
Working-class residents are likely to need some financial help to
buy decent coverage, Martinez-Vidal said.
But the politics of deciding who deserves
subsidies and how generous their coverage
should be is tricky, he said.
Another dicey political decision is what to do with the uninsured
who can afford health insurance but choose
not to buy it, he said.
Massachusetts decided to require residents to get coverage, just as
it requires drivers to get auto insurance.
But mandatory auto insurance laws don’t
guarantee universal coverage. The Heartland
Institute points out that 15 states with
such auto laws actually had a greater share
of motorists driving without insurance in
2004 than residents going without health
coverage.
Ed Haislmaier, a health care expert for the conservative Heritage
Foundation and the chief proponent of the
Massachusetts “connector,” said the reason
Bay State lawmakers were able to strike a
deal is that they went beyond expanding
public programs.
“If you’re a governor who wants to do this — I don’t care if you’re
Republican or Democrat — the first person
you should start with is your insurance
director, not your Medicaid director,” he
said.
Even people who don’t have health insurance still get health care,
primarily at hospitals, he said, so the
first question to answer is who pays for
their care now. In Massachusetts, a handful
of hospitals received major federal support
to cover the cost of treating the uninsured,
so lawmakers redirected that money.
But in most states, Haislmaier cautioned, the answer is more
complicated. Hospitals compensate for care
they provide for free by raising their
prices for everybody else. Insurance
companies that pay the hospital bills pass
on the extra cost to the businesses and
individuals who buy their coverage.
Haislmaier said the sheer size of California makes the negotiating
process far more difficult than in a smaller
state like Massachusetts.
“California will probably be the last people to do transformative
health reform,” he said. “There’s too many
stakeholders, too many people, too much
money, everything. In some of the smaller
states, if you get the right 20 people in
the room, you could do it if you really want
it.”
The absence of a deal in California is not for lack of trying.
State lawmakers have approved sweeping
health care reform for four consecutive
years, but none of the proposals made it
into law, thanks to gubernatorial vetoes or
the defeat of ballot initiatives.
Schwarzenegger promised progress during his January 2007 State of
the State address to lawmakers.
“In the past, health care reform was always dead on arrival. But
this year I can feel something different in
the air. I can feel the energy, the
momentum, the desire for action,” he said
then. “Ladies and gentlemen, we will get
this done.”
But by year’s end, a deal still was not in hand. In a major step,
the governor and his Democratic allies in
the state Assembly agreed in mid-December on
a measure to require most Californians to
have insurance starting in 2010. But they
put off resolving how to fund their health
reforms, and the state Senate was dragging
its feet on taking up the package – much
less embracing it.
Any compromise couldn’t take effect unless approved by voters
anyway. The governor’s plan stalled because
of Republican opposition to his proposed tax
hikes to help cover the cost. He needed GOP
support because tax increases in California
must be approved by a two-thirds majority in
both the Assembly and the Senate.
Negotiations continue, but any final
compromise will likely need to be approved
by voters in November.
The fact that Schwarzenegger hadn’t secured a deal a year after
vowing to get all Californians health care
highlights how difficult such major
overhauls can be politically. That doesn’t
mean the interested parties are giving up
hope.
Dietmar Grellmann, a senior vicepresident for the California
Hospital Association, an early supporter of
Schwarzenegger’s efforts, said the
governor’s interest makes a breakthrough
possible.
Schwarzenegger, a former movie star and body builder, used his
considerable influence with the public to
keep attention on the health insurance
reform efforts, Grellman said. He also
credited Schwarzenegger’s governing style of
focusing on making big changes on big
issues, because it kept pressure on
lawmakers and interest groups to keep
working on the ambitious proposal.
“If it had been any other governor or any other administration,”
Grellman said, “we wouldn’t have made it
this far.”