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Most elderly people lack necessary funds, resources to cover nursing home care Kaiser Foundation study finds

Most elderly people do not have assets that would enable them to pay for one year of nursing home care according to a recent study by the Kaiser Foundation. The study  revealed that two-thirds of elderly people living in the community have resources equal to less than one year of the cost of nursing home care ($70,000). The majority of elderly people in this range have very low asset levels; 57% have assets below $5,000, less than the cost of one month of nursing home care.

A considerably smaller share (19%) of elderly people living in the community have assets equal to three or more years of the average cost of nursing home care.

 

Asset levels are substantially lower for elderly people who have characteristics associated with nursing home use (Figure 2). Elderly people who have no spouse, are older, are female, and have functional or cognitive limitations are much less likely to have assets equal to three or more years of nursing home care.

These risk factors for nursing home entry are closely related. For example, the likelihood of being without a spouse rises dramatically with age, particularly for older women.

 

Nearly nine out of ten women age 85 and older do not have a spouse The likelihood of having a functional limitation and/or cognitive impairment also rises with age, increasing from 14% for elderly people age 65-74 to 34% for those age 85 and older.

The vast majority of elderly people at high risk for nursing home use do not have assets to cover one year in a nursing home. Among the 1.0 million elderly people at high risk of nursing home use—no spouse, age 85 and older, and needing help with functional limitations or cognitive impairments—84% have asset levels below one year of nursing home cost.

 

For three quarters of elderly people in this range, asset levels are less than $5,000. A small share (7%) of elderly people at high-risk of nursing home care have assets sufficient to cover 3 years of nursing home costs.

A relatively small number (71,011) of elderly people with assets equal to 3 or more years of nursing home costs are at high risk for nursing home use  The number of elderly people who have high levels of assets declines rapidly when examining combined risk factors for nursing home use, including no spouse, age 85 or older and functional/cognitive limitations. As a result, only 1% of elderly people with these asset levels are at high risk for nursing home care.  .

Conclusion

Most elderly people living in the community do not have assets, excluding home equity, sufficient to finance a nursing home stay of one year or more. Furthermore, relatively few of the 6.6 million elderly people who have assets equal to or greater than three years of nursing home care are at high risk for using nursing homes. Rather, the one million elderly at high risk-- because they have no spouse, are age 85 and older, and have functional or cognitive limitations--tend to have few assets, and 84% have asset levels that would be exhausted within one year of nursing home care. These high-risk elderly are of the World War II generation, most of whom have not accumulated substantial liquid assets. Future generations may be able to generate more wealth.

However, these findings suggest that proposals that assume significant reductions in Medicaid spending in the short-term by lengthening the look-back period beyond three years or tightening asset transfer rules may fall short of expectations.

This brief was prepared by Barbara Lyons, Kaiser Commission on Medicaid and the Uninsured, Andy Schneider, Medicaid Policy, LLC, and Katherine A. Desmond, Consultant.

 


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