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The Generation
Gap and the 2012 Election; Angry Silents,
Disengaged Millennials : An insightful look
at what may decide the 2012 Elections
November 8, 2011--Not
since 1972 has generation played such a
significant role in voter preferences as it
has in recent elections.
Younger people have voted
substantially more Democratic in each
election since 2004, while older voters have
cast more ballots for Republican candidates
in each election since 2006.
A new Pew Research Center
study suggests this pattern may well
continue in 2012. Millennial voters are
inclined to back President Barack Obama by a
wide margin in a potential matchup against
former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney,
while Silent generation voters are solidly
behind Romney. Baby Boomers and Generation X
voters, who are the most anxious about the
uncertain economic times, are on the fence
about a second term for Obama.
At
the same time, the polling identifies
potential fissures at both ends of the age
spectrum that may affect these patterns.
Older Republican-oriented
voters, unlike younger people, rate Social
Security as a top voting issue.
While they favor the GOP
on most issues, this is not the case for
Social Security. Younger Democratic-leaning
voters continue to support Obama at much
higher levels than do older generations.
But Obama’s job ratings
have fallen steeply among this group, as
well as among older generations, since early
2009. Perhaps more ominously for Obama,
Millennials are much less engaged in
politics than they were at this stage in the
2008 campaign.
Read the full
report for more information on these
subjects:
